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Heyo Coloradans (and anyone else that has had nasty hail)!
Did you survive the hail? I have friends posting pictures of their neighborhoods demolished, or parking lots full of shattered windshields. Everyone okay? No bonks on the noggin's by icy golf balls? My area just got a ton of rain, thunder, and lighting. Was pretty worried for my roommate out on bicycle rides though; had to rescue him from wind the other day.
Tropical Depression 8-DISSIPATED
Post tropical cyclone Hermine: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?5-daynl#contents
Just because Hermine is post tropical now doesn't mean that it's all over. Believe me, it's far from over.
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION-----------------------------------------------LOCATION...36.1N 75.2WABOUT 35 MI...55 KM ESE OF DUCK NORTH CAROLINAABOUT 80 MI...135 KM SE OF NORFOLK VIRGINIAMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The Tropical Storm Warning has been extended northward and eastward
from Sandy Hook, New Jersey, to west of Watch Hill, Rhode Island,
including Long Island, Long Island Sound, and New York City.
A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued from Watch Hill, Rhode
Island, to Sagamore Beach, Massachusetts, including Block Island,
Martha's Vineyard, Nantucket, and Cape Cod.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Ocracoke Inlet to west of Watch Hill
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds
* Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point southward
* Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island eastward
* Delaware Bay
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Watch Hill to Sagamore Beach
* Block Island
* Martha's Vineyard
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue to spread northwardwithin the warning area along the Atlantic coast through Sunday.Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area by lateSunday or Sunday night.STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide willcause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by risingwaters moving inland from the shoreline. Along the immediatecoastline, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerouswaves. There is a danger of life-threatening inundation during thenext few hours in the Hampton Roads area, and in the next 36 hoursfrom Chincoteague, Virginia, to Sandy Hook, New Jersey. Personswithin these areas should take all necessary actions to protect lifeand property from rising water. Promptly follow all instructions,including evacuation orders, from local officials. There is alsothe possibility of life-threatening inundation during the next 48hours at many coastal locations between Sandy Hook, New Jersey, andBridgeport, Connecticut.For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the Prototype StormSurge Watch/Warning graphic, which displays areas that would qualifyfor inclusion under a storm surge watch or warning currently underdevelopment by the National Weather Service and planned foroperational use in 2017. The Prototype Graphic is available atwww.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?wsurgeThe water could reach the following heights above ground if thepeak surge occurs at the time of high tide...North Carolina coast...1 to 3 feetHampton Roads area...3 to 5 feetChincoteague, VA to Sandy Hook, NJ...3 to 5 feetSandy Hook, NJ to Bridgeport, CT...2 to 4 feetRAINFALL: Hermine is expected to produce total rainfallaccumulations of 4 to 7 inches over far southeastern Virginia andthe Atlantic coastal portion of Maryland through Monday morning.Hermine is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 1 to4 inches over southern Delaware, southern and eastern New Jersey,and Long Island through Monday morning.SURF: Large waves generated by Hermine will affect the U.S. eastcoast from the mid-Atlantic states and expand northward along thecoast of southern New England through the weekend. These waves arelikely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions,and significant beach erosion. Please consult products from yourlocal weather office. KEY MESSAGES:1. The slow motion and large wind field associated with Hermine willresult in a long duration of hazardous conditions along much of themid-Atlantic coast extending into southern New England through theholiday weekend.2. Although Hermine has become a post-tropical cyclone, NHC willcontinue to issue its full suite of advisory and warning products aslong as the system remains a significant threat to land areas.3. P-surge, the model that drives the Potential Storm Surge FloodingGraphic, is designed for a wind field typical of a tropicalcyclone. The wind field of Hermine is very poorly represented bythe P-surge model and as a result, recent Flooding Graphics haveunderstated the inundation risk from the Carolinas northward. NHCwill be discontinuing runs of the P-surge model for Hermine withthis advisory. The NWS is attempting to substitute the GFS ensemblesystem for P-surge for the next issuance of the Potential StormSurge Flooding Graphic, to provide a more realistic depiction of thethreat. If this effort is unsuccessful, issuance of the PotentialStorm Surge Flooding Graphic for Hermine will also be discontinued.4. The Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic does account forthe current wind structure of Hermine, and therefore accuratelyidentifies those areas at risk for life-threatening storm surge.This graphic will continue to be produced for Hermine. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDSINIT 03/1500Z 36.1N 75.2W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 04/0000Z 37.1N 73.0W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 24H 04/1200Z 37.9N 71.6W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 36H 05/0000Z 38.4N 71.6W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 48H 05/1200Z 38.7N 71.9W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 72H 06/1200Z 39.5N 71.5W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 96H 07/1200Z 40.4N 70.2W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROPICAL120H 08/1200Z 41.0N 67.5W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROPICAL Cone of uncertainty
The Ice Storm in Texas and Oklahoma is winding down, but I was wundering-does anyone in Texas and\or Oklahoma have any storm reports? (e.g., ice accumulation\accretion, snow\sleet accumulation, power outages, road conditions, etc.)
As I live in Illinois, I am just getting plain ole rain. Had a flash flood watch this morning.
So, you may know that I am a Weathergeek. I live in Illinois. Thought I might post a little something on Hurricane Joaquin.
Current information as of 11AM EDT (10AM CDT, 9AM MDT, 8am PDT) per National Hurricane Center:
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM ENE OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 230 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES
INIT 30/1500Z 24.7N 72.6W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 01/0000Z 24.3N 73.2W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 01/1200Z 24.1N 74.0W 85 KT 100 MPH
36H 02/0000Z 24.4N 74.4W 90 KT 105 MPH
48H 02/1200Z 25.3N 74.5W 95 KT 110 MPH
72H 03/1200Z 28.5N 73.5W 100 KT 115 MPH
96H 04/1200Z 34.0N 73.0W 90 KT 105 MPH
120H 05/1200Z 38.5N 74.0W 75 KT 85 MPH
Track forecast (uncertain):
A few key points in their discussion:
1. Confidence in the details of the track forecast late in the
period remains low, since the environmental steering currents are
complex and the model guidance is inconsistent. A wide range of
outcomes is possible, from a direct impact of a major hurricane
along the U.S. east coast to a track of Joaquin out to sea away from
the coast. It is therefore way too soon to talk about specific
wind, rain, or surge impacts from Joaquin in the U.S.
2. Should the threat to the U.S. increase, any further adjustments
of the forecast to the west would likely be accompanied by an
increase in the forecast forward speed, with impacts along the coast
occurring sooner than currently forecast. A hurricane watch could
be required for portions of the U.S. coast as early as Thursday
3. Many areas of the eastern U.S. are currently experiencing heavy
rains and gusty winds associated with a frontal system. This
inclement weather is expected to continue over the next few days,
which could complicate preparations for Joaquin should it head
toward the coast.
My words of advice:
Watch the progress of Joaquin closely.
If under orders to evacuate, heed those orders.
Above is the link to more information on Joaquin
Here is satellite imagery.
Will try to post updates on new advisories whenever I can.
Less of an issue cause we don't have to wait on any groggy Reaper folks to unlock the door but in case anyone forgot to check.
Partly Cloudy / Wind 82Â°F
Partly Cloudy / Wind
CHANCE OF RAIN:
W at 25 mph
CHANCE OF RAIN:
SSE at 13 mph
Partly Cloudy / Wind 86Â°
Partly Cloudy / Wind
CHANCE OF RAIN:
SSE at 20 mph
Isolated T-Storms 89Â°
Potential for severe thunderstorms
CHANCE OF RAIN:
SSW at 19 mph
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