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  1. Tropical Depression 8-DISSIPATED Post tropical cyclone Hermine: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?5-daynl#contents Just because Hermine is post tropical now doesn't mean that it's all over. Believe me, it's far from over. SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION-----------------------------------------------LOCATION...36.1N 75.2WABOUT 35 MI...55 KM ESE OF DUCK NORTH CAROLINAABOUT 80 MI...135 KM SE OF NORFOLK VIRGINIAMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been extended northward and eastward from Sandy Hook, New Jersey, to west of Watch Hill, Rhode Island, including Long Island, Long Island Sound, and New York City. A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued from Watch Hill, Rhode Island, to Sagamore Beach, Massachusetts, including Block Island, Martha's Vineyard, Nantucket, and Cape Cod. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Ocracoke Inlet to west of Watch Hill * Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds * Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point southward * Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island eastward * Delaware Bay A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Watch Hill to Sagamore Beach * Block Island * Martha's Vineyard * Nantucket HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue to spread northwardwithin the warning area along the Atlantic coast through Sunday.Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area by lateSunday or Sunday night.STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide willcause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by risingwaters moving inland from the shoreline. Along the immediatecoastline, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerouswaves. There is a danger of life-threatening inundation during thenext few hours in the Hampton Roads area, and in the next 36 hoursfrom Chincoteague, Virginia, to Sandy Hook, New Jersey. Personswithin these areas should take all necessary actions to protect lifeand property from rising water. Promptly follow all instructions,including evacuation orders, from local officials. There is alsothe possibility of life-threatening inundation during the next 48hours at many coastal locations between Sandy Hook, New Jersey, andBridgeport, Connecticut.For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the Prototype StormSurge Watch/Warning graphic, which displays areas that would qualifyfor inclusion under a storm surge watch or warning currently underdevelopment by the National Weather Service and planned foroperational use in 2017. The Prototype Graphic is available atwww.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?wsurgeThe water could reach the following heights above ground if thepeak surge occurs at the time of high tide...North Carolina coast...1 to 3 feetHampton Roads area...3 to 5 feetChincoteague, VA to Sandy Hook, NJ...3 to 5 feetSandy Hook, NJ to Bridgeport, CT...2 to 4 feetRAINFALL: Hermine is expected to produce total rainfallaccumulations of 4 to 7 inches over far southeastern Virginia andthe Atlantic coastal portion of Maryland through Monday morning.Hermine is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 1 to4 inches over southern Delaware, southern and eastern New Jersey,and Long Island through Monday morning.SURF: Large waves generated by Hermine will affect the U.S. eastcoast from the mid-Atlantic states and expand northward along thecoast of southern New England through the weekend. These waves arelikely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions,and significant beach erosion. Please consult products from yourlocal weather office. KEY MESSAGES:1. The slow motion and large wind field associated with Hermine willresult in a long duration of hazardous conditions along much of themid-Atlantic coast extending into southern New England through theholiday weekend.2. Although Hermine has become a post-tropical cyclone, NHC willcontinue to issue its full suite of advisory and warning products aslong as the system remains a significant threat to land areas.3. P-surge, the model that drives the Potential Storm Surge FloodingGraphic, is designed for a wind field typical of a tropicalcyclone. The wind field of Hermine is very poorly represented bythe P-surge model and as a result, recent Flooding Graphics haveunderstated the inundation risk from the Carolinas northward. NHCwill be discontinuing runs of the P-surge model for Hermine withthis advisory. The NWS is attempting to substitute the GFS ensemblesystem for P-surge for the next issuance of the Potential StormSurge Flooding Graphic, to provide a more realistic depiction of thethreat. If this effort is unsuccessful, issuance of the PotentialStorm Surge Flooding Graphic for Hermine will also be discontinued.4. The Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic does account forthe current wind structure of Hermine, and therefore accuratelyidentifies those areas at risk for life-threatening storm surge.This graphic will continue to be produced for Hermine. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDSINIT 03/1500Z 36.1N 75.2W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 04/0000Z 37.1N 73.0W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 24H 04/1200Z 37.9N 71.6W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 36H 05/0000Z 38.4N 71.6W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 48H 05/1200Z 38.7N 71.9W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 72H 06/1200Z 39.5N 71.5W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 96H 07/1200Z 40.4N 70.2W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROPICAL120H 08/1200Z 41.0N 67.5W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROPICAL Cone of uncertainty
  2. apologies mods if this belongs in Beekeepers, but I just want to share love and support to everyone in Orlando and around the world today. Hang in there. I'm thinking positive thoughts. I love all my fellow Americans. Erin
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