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Reaper Bones 4: Enthusiasm and Commentary Thread


ladystorm
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3 minutes ago, Sirithiliel said:

I hope we get to them, Blacksting and Dance of Death are what I am most wxcited for this KS

::):  They are fine models, I agree, and I'm also hoping for them.  I'm not too worried about it, though, given Reaper's track record in predicting how things will end up.

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I apologize again, but I won't be able to catch up on the KS comment summaries for the past several days like I'd planned. I'm currently out of town for the funeral of a family member, and I very much doubt I'll have the time. And shortly after that, I'll be out of town for PAX Prime. 

 

@Grayfax has been kind enough to offer to do some in my stead, but he's got an actual job (unlike myself) so I don't know how much free time he'll have. He'll do what he can when he can. 

 

I don't want to kill the mood, just wanted to explain why I won't be around much for the rest of the KS. Please, continue talking about the awesome fun Bones things you're excited about and your plans for them. :) 

 

--OneBoot

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51 minutes ago, NecroMancer said:

I don't want to be a Debby Downer and don't want this to sound like I am knocking Reaper because I'm not they have done a great job!

 

But do you guys think that we will be able to reach things like the Black Sting Wyvern or Dance with Death?  I mean we're a little under 300K to even finish Dreadmere.  I'm not sure we will make it that far let alone another 50-100k at least to unlock those too. 

 

Yes, almost certainly.  Look at the Kicktrak graphs for the previous campaigns - they accelerate -hard- in the last 48 hours.  Assuming the trends continue and we build backers at this rate going forward, we should hit $3,234,587 pretty easily.

 

This is not Reaper's first bordello.  They'll use things like Dance or Date & Blacksting to drive that 48 hour madness to the extreme.

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1 hour ago, NecroMancer said:

I don't want to be a Debby Downer and don't want this to sound like I am knocking Reaper because I'm not they have done a great job!

 

But do you guys think that we will be able to reach things like the Black Sting Wyvern or Dance with Death?  I mean we're a little under 300K to even finish Dreadmere.  I'm not sure we will make it that far let alone another 50-100k at least to unlock those too. 

 

Check the funding graphs of all the previous bones kickstarters. All kickstarter camaigns have a huge surge in the last 48 hours, as KS sends a reminder email to people who have starred the project, and people who pledged for a lower amount and ignored most of the updates (this demographic constitues the majority of backers) finally check back in and finalize their pledges higher.

 

Edit: :ph34r:'d!

Edited by breegull
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Well I'll take your guy's word for it.  Just seems like a lot of money and bring my first KS I wasn't sure if we could do it.  But I'll keep the faith!

 

Like I said tho Reaper has done great and there is already a bunch of stuff I want to buy!

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Completely understand.  Strap in, you're in for a wild ride : )

 

Honestly I'm seriously considering taking the last 48 off work because I know I'll be obsessively tracking it & not worth half a bloodstone gnome to anyone but replacement F5 key merchants.

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1 hour ago, NecroMancer said:

Well I'll take your guy's word for it.  Just seems like a lot of money and bring my first KS I wasn't sure if we could do it.  But I'll keep the faith!

 

Like I said tho Reaper has done great and there is already a bunch of stuff I want to buy!

 

 

One thing you can can count on with Reaper; if they weren't 99.9% sure a model was going to be available, they would not show it in a preview.   They really don't like to tease their customers only to disappoint them.   As others have said, they have a pretty good idea how this will play out, and won't risk anything that will disappoint customers. 

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3 hours ago, NecroMancer said:

Well I'll take your guy's word for it.  Just seems like a lot of money and bring my first KS I wasn't sure if we could do it.  But I'll keep the faith!

 

Like I said tho Reaper has done great and there is already a bunch of stuff I want to buy!

 

Let's see. Seven days left, so the same time left in B3 was at $1.375M goal. B4 is at $1.717M. Yes, different spans, but work with me here. B3 then had 16 more goals met. Say B4 doesn't perform as well, or that since the funding is higher we've had more reveals already and they'll get farther apart (core set mostly affected, as the cost goes up each addition; add ons are gravy with expansions being their own thing). So let's say we have 12 reveals left, 75% of B3 at same time remaining.

 

We have the three already announced. Dance of Death and Blacksting have been teased. Say maybe one more teaser I missed? That's six things we know are upcoming and leaves 6 more things we know nothing about. Even halving that means 3 new reveals to be surprised by.

 

The reveals will get less deep, and will eventually become just the next goal only. That last revealed goal will be achieved, trust in that. One reason Reaper puts 'DFTBA' in their email updates.

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