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Froggy the Great

Randomness XVI: Brains versus Bleach - an Epic Rap Battle in Iambic Pentameter.

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15 hours ago, TGP said:
15 hours ago, Glitterwolf said:
15 hours ago, TGP said:

 

I just saw an infographic with numbers. (Obviously now several hours Old and all the numbers will change rapidly.) But it listed:

 

~9,870 confirmed cases

~~253 fatal cases

 

(That was inside China.)

 

So it is looking like that out of 10K cases maybe about 9,700 will live?

 

The 1918 flu epidemic was more like: out of 10K cases only 8,000 to (at best) 9,000 would survive. 

 

 

Best defence ( as long as there isn't a vaccine) is good hygiene, eat well, sleep well etc etc..

And if you belong ot a risk group like the elderly one should take double care.

It's all we can do right now.

 

If that survival rate holds up. If it infects about one third of a population (as did the Spanish Flu). Then China alone loses between 18 and 19 million people. Less, if my back of an envelope guess about China’s current total population is too high. 

 

Better (?) maths

 

Population of China: 1,433,783,686 (mid year estimate 2019)

 

Latest numbers from China: 12,000 total cases; 11,741 (?) survivors; (259 deaths) . Does anyone but me spot the problem with these numbers?

 

Formula: (1,433,783,686) x Infection Rate -:- 12,000 x 259 = projected number of victims (in China)

 

27,851,248 if infection rate is 90%

10,212,124 if infection rate is 33%

 

Infection Rateis how many folk catch the virus if they get exposed.

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So today I managed to have a really good parenting day with my youngest.  She was super happy to not have homework, and the blank music composition book I'd ordered had arrived.  She had wanted to convert some melodies to the bass clef for her cello, so I started showing her how to transpose.  I gave her the note letters and the original music and she started writing it out.  She also learned how to play it from my notes.  Best part was she noticed that she felt happier and more energized afterwards.  Pretty insightful for a 10 year old.  ^_^

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3 hours ago, paintybeard said:

 

Not very keen on wasabi then, I would guess.

 

One of these days I want to try real wasabi. That green stuff they sell in tubes for like $5 isn't real wasabi, it's generally horseradish and mustard. The real deal is expensive and loses its flavor very quickly once prepared, so it has to be made fresh.

 

2 hours ago, TheAuldGrump said:

 

Never mistake the wasabi for guacamole.

 

 

Yea, the guacamole will just ruin your day.

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My first encounter with wasabi was in 1987. A sushi restaurant opened in town, and a friend and I decided to try this new thing we'd never heard of. So we got a sampler platter, and took turns choosing among the various shapes and colors of morsels.

 

I was the lucky girl who chose the green globe and popped the whole thing into my mouth.

 

I haven't been very fond of wasabi since.

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I have a friend who had never seen wasabi before. At a picnic, she asked another friend of hers what that green stuff was. The friend said, "It looks like guacamole".

 

She swore hideous revenge, but not until some undefined point in the future when he had forgotten all about it.

 

I think he's still looking over his shoulder, even though she lives a thousand miles away these days. ::D:

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1 hour ago, TGP said:
17 hours ago, TGP said:
17 hours ago, Glitterwolf said:
18 hours ago, TGP said:

 

I just saw an infographic with numbers. (Obviously now several hours Old and all the numbers will change rapidly.) But it listed:

 

~9,870 confirmed cases

~~253 fatal cases

 

(That was inside China.)

 

So it is looking like that out of 10K cases maybe about 9,700 will live?

 

The 1918 flu epidemic was more like: out of 10K cases only 8,000 to (at best) 9,000 would survive. 

 

 

Best defence ( as long as there isn't a vaccine) is good hygiene, eat well, sleep well etc etc..

And if you belong ot a risk group like the elderly one should take double care.

It's all we can do right now.

 

If that survival rate holds up. If it infects about one third of a population (as did the Spanish Flu). Then China alone loses between 18 and 19 million people. Less, if my back of an envelope guess about China’s current total population is too high. 

 

Better (?) maths

 

Population of China: 1,433,783,686 (mid year estimate 2019)

 

Latest numbers from China: 12,000 total cases; 11,741 (?) survivors; (259 deaths) . Does anyone but me spot the problem with these numbers?

 

Formula: (1,433,783,686) x Infection Rate -:- 12,000 x 259 = projected number of victims (in China)

 

27,851,248 if infection rate is 90%

10,212,124 if infection rate is 33%

 

Infection Rateis how many folk catch the virus if they get exposed.

 

Given the coronavirus at current can only be confirmed through PCR and China is only PCRing the most serious of cases, I doubt 12,000 is anywhere near the total numbers.

 

Given it's flu season and the coronavirus causes general mild flu-like symptoms, I'd bet money that most people infected don't even realize it.

 

Given research out of China suggests the coronavirus may be largely asymptomatic in most cases, I'd assume this coronavirus ends up less dangerous than the seasonal flu even though it is more contagious than that same flu.

 

I own an immune system. I'll take those odds. And the subway. 

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5 hours ago, Zink said:

Not a horseradish fan but that's much worse than what I think of it.

 

There aren't many foods I don't like, and even then it's usually on the order of "Yeah, don't really care for that." Horseradish, though, my taste buds seem to hate with a passion equal to a thousand fiery suns. And I don't mean the heat, that's something else entirely; I mean the actual flavor of the stuff. Bleugh. :zombie:

 

5 hours ago, paintybeard said:

Not very keen on wasabi then, I would guess.

 

Ah, given that the only wasabi that's ever accidentally brushed against my poor innocent sushi was just green-colored horseradish paste (with maybe something else in it), no. No I am not. :lol:

 

It's funny, but I always thought it was just the "wasabi" stuff I didn't like; however, tonight MrBoot made a horseradish dipping sauce to go with our homemade onion rings. 

 

My mouth still thinks it can detect the awful taste. :P

 

Huzzah! 

--OneBoot :D 

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On 1/30/2020 at 6:10 AM, TGP said:

Went looking for DF forest pieces. On the DF webpage/shop. 

 

Are they OOP?

They just came off the boat a couple of weeks ago.  If all goes as usual the rest of the kickstarter batch will be available from the store in a month or so

 

9 hours ago, OneBoot said:

I have determined that, to me, horseradish tastes like tires smell, if those tires were also on fire. :blink:

 

Huzzah!

--OneBoot :D

 

To each their own.  I can't eat capcisin so I have To take heat in my food where incan get it!

 

In other news:  it's the weekend!  I got to go to the funeral, at which nothing happened, and then got dragged back into work.  Sometimes I think I am incapable of taking a day off...

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I do one google search for Kobe Bryant and now google is sending me notices about the Lakers, and I can't turn them off because I'd have to turn off my notices about the Penguins at the same time...

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31 minutes ago, Unruly said:

I do one google search for Kobe Bryant and now google is sending me notices about the Lakers, and I can't turn them off because I'd have to turn off my notices about the Penguins at the same time...

 

I've done the same, but it was to look up something for the Minnesota Golden Gophers football team. Afterwards it was pretty much all Unv of Mn sports news.....ughhh

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8 hours ago, Xiwo Xerase said:

If you can wrangle it, may I suggest taking a trip to Reaper HQ before going home.  You’re “in the area” after all.

 

(Texas is stupidly big so it’s going to be a long road trip.  Maybe this isn’t such a great idea.)

Exeter to Edinburgh is about the same distance as Corpus Christi to Denton. Long drive (but doable in a day**) or a short hop** in an aircraft. 

 

An afternoon outing the next day, catch a flight out of DFW that evening for the (newly independent) UK. 

 

**6 hours and change, driving. 

 

 

10 hours ago, OneBoot said:

I have determined that, to me, horseradish tastes like tires smell, if those tires were also on fire. :blink:

 

Huzzah!

--OneBoot :D

Awwww. 

 

If there are Arby’s Sandwich franchises in your corner of the map, they have this stuff they call “horsey sauce”. You’ll want to avoid that. 

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7 hours ago, Unruly said:

 

One of these days I want to try real wasabi. That green stuff they sell in tubes for like $5 isn't real wasabi, it's generally horseradish and mustard. The real deal is expensive and loses its flavor very quickly once prepared, so it has to be made fresh.


I have had real wasabi! The stuff is weird. It looked like ginger root when it was delivered to the table along with a grating tray. Was told to grab the white root and grind it on the tray, and it turned green when I did! It was like table-side magic.

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10 hours ago, Xiwo Xerase said:

If you can wrangle it, may I suggest taking a trip to Reaper HQ before going home.  You’re “in the area” after all.

 

(Texas is stupidly big so it’s going to be a long road trip.  Maybe this isn’t such a great idea.)

 

 I would love to do this, but sadly it is not allowed. US customs are very strict about making sure seafarers paying off ship go straight to the airport and don't try to "go native". For a couple of years after 9/11 we were even escorted to the check-in desk by (very bored) US marshals.

 

 To be fair, nearly every country is like this now. It used to be that where ever I paid off ship I would ask for my flight to be delayed a week, hire a car and go and be a tourist. Sadly this isn't allowed any longer. 

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57 minutes ago, Pegazus said:


I have had real wasabi! The stuff is weird. It looked like ginger root when it was delivered to the table along with a grating tray. Was told to grab the white root and grind it on the tray, and it turned green when I did! It was like table-side magic.

 

Compared to the fake stuff, how did it taste?

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